The Science and R&D category is extremely versatile and offers many more application possibilities for prediction markets.

2018 will be an exciting year in space exploration—you could build a prediction market around any of the upcoming space missions and forecast whether the mission to mercury (BepiColombo) will be successful or if SpaceX will land on Mars, or even whether we might eventually encounter martians. During our prediction market tournament Olympia, we've already included a prediction market in this category, asking "Will SpaceX launch the top-secret Zuma Sattelite on January 5th, 2018, as planned after their two previous delays?" which successfully predicted the delay of the launch well before market resolution.

Your use case could also be related to technological development, asking questions like "Will the new MacBook to be released in 2018 have an LCD or OLED screen?" or "Will the 'Moth Eye' Smartphone coating be purchasable in 2018?", or "Will the majority of cars drive autonomously in 2020?". Be sure to check out Robin Hanson's article, "Could Gambling Save Science", for more inspiration.

There are many more prediction market use cases in the Science and R&D category we have never thought of. We're very much looking forward to all the exciting dApps you're going to impress us with in the coming months!

Judges

ROBIN HANSON

Robin Hanson is an associate professor of economics at George Mason University and a research associate at the Future of Humanity Institute of Oxford University. He is known as an expert on idea futures and markets. He invented market scoring rules like LMSR (Logarithmic Market Scoring Rule) used by prediction markets.

TBA

We will announce another judge for this category shortly.

GNOSIS

Martin Köppelmann‏, Stefan George, and the Gnosis team will evaluate submissions.

Timeline

Timeline

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